Expectancy vs Win Rate

Quick comparison to help you distinguish these two crypto terms.

Expectancy
advanced
strategy

A statistical measure of the average dollar amount a trader expects to gain or lose per unit of risk on each trade, calculated from win rate and average reward-to-risk ratio combined.

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Win Rate
intermediate
strategy

The percentage of trades that close at a profit out of the total number of trades executed, measured across a statistically meaningful sample to assess strategy performance reliability.

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